by Zulaikha Zulkifli & Lee Long Hui
ANALYSIS "PERAK After two weeks of aggressive campaigning, perhaps over the past two years, Pakatan Rakyat is expected to regain the silver state with a simple majority and contribute another two parliamentary seats on their way to Putrajaya.
However, capturing the two parliamentary seats of Lumut and Sungai Siput remain uncertain.
The 2008 general election saw Pakatan Rakyat snaring 31 state seats out of 59 to form the state government, but could only take 11 of 24 parliamentary seats.
For this round, a conservative estimation is that Pakatan can win the five marginal seats of Pengkalan Baru, Manjoi, Sungai Rapat, Kubu Gajah and Selama.
PAS is contesting these seats, with Manjoi and Sungai Rapat close to downtown Ipoh, and three others located in semi-rural areas.
But the opposition coalition might lose Behrang in the Tanjung Malim parliamentary constituency, in the four-cornered fight due to PKR's weak machinery.
While retaining their existing seats, they are eyeing the Kuala Kangsar and Larut parliamentary constituencies.
Malay constituencies are the main battlegrounds for both PAS and Umno..."