It could be a combination of factors (a la kopitiam) and cannot be just one factor (remember one person one vote) :
1. Change of some voters' sentiments favourable towards BN;
2. Change of some voters' sentiments against PR;
3. Some voters paid to vote for BN;
4. Hanky panky in postal votes;
5. Poor voter turnout;
6. Ku Li's strong influence in Galas, plus his support for Kelantan's oil royalty case;
7. Sympathy votes for Datin Tsen in Batu Sapi;
8. Rosmah's influence acting for Najib during Hilary Clinton's visit cum Najib's absence!
9. Bookies' influence;
10. Ploy by PR to encourage Najib to go for early General Election;
11. Strong gender support for Datin Tsen (remember they have half of the votes) ;
12. Voters message to PR to shape up or ship out!; and
13. Any relevant factors not mentioned above.
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