Lee Hwa Beng on who will win the next GE

"THE coming 13th general election will be interesting as nobody can say for sure which coalition will win Putrajaya.

However, one thing that we can all agree on is that BN can no longer win a two-thirds majority and whoever wins, the margin of victory will be narrow. A lot of writers have recently made many forecasts but (in my humble opinion), most of these articles are political spins to make their paymasters look good.

As a disclaimer, I have no agenda in providing the following assessment.

My questions are for the reader to come to a conclusion on whether PR can improve their standing since the last polls."

 "... In the last elections, BN won 140 seats and PR 82 seats in the Parliament.

BN won narrowly with 86 seats and PR 80 seats in West Malaysia.

However, in East Malaysia, PR only won two seats with one each in Sabah and Sarawak."

"Since then, PAS has wrested the Kuala Trengganu seat from Umno in a by-election. Six MPs from PKR and one MP from PAS have resigned. One joined Kita and six became BN friendly independents. DAP has wrested an additional seat from SUPP in the Sibu by-election.

Two SAPP MPs have left BN to become independents.

An MP from Umno in Sabah has resigned and become a PRfriendly independent.

Before attempting to predict which coalition will win, you should answer the following questions: ..."


More:
http://www.mmail.com.my/story/who-will-win-13th-general-election-50433
Link