Lee Wee Tak's analysis of Najib's confidence

"The famous retiree, Mr. Ng Chak Ngoon has certainly attracted national attention with his malapportionment bombshell in the PSC hearing for electoral reform in Sabah. With BN only needing around 15% of the votes to secure a simple majority in parliament, no wonder Najib expressed his confidence in the just concluded UMNO AGM that UMNO will win the general election yet again.

Inspired by Mr. Ng’s call, I did some number crunching over the weekend. And I found a near prefect “75% - 25%” rule at work.

Total number of registered voters for GE2008 was 10,923,140 (that would include people above 100 years old voters as well as phantom voters as well) and the total number of parliamentary seats is 222. In order to truly reflect 1 voice 1 vote a parliamentary constituency should be made up to 49,199 (ie. 10,923,140 divided by 222) or round up to 50,000 voters per seat.

As the 75% - 25% rule is at work, you will note that
# 75% of the parliamentary constituencies have registered voters below 50,000
# 25% of the parliamentary constituencies have registered voters above 50,000

Of the 75% constituencies with less than 50,000 registered voters – 75% of the seats are won by BN (remaining 25% go to PR)
Of the 75% constituencies with more than 50,000 voters – 75% of the seats are won by PR (remaining 25% go to BN)"

(Historical facts show BN's advantage as a result of gerrymandering):

(courtesy of Tindak Malaysia)

"If you look at the top 24 seats, you will find 79% of the seats are won by PR with majority many times over total registered voters of Putrajaya (a mere 6,608 with 5,416 turned out to vote – just fill up stadium hoki Tun Razak whose capacity is 5,000)"


Source:
An imaginary address to malapportionment
http://wangsamajuformalaysia.blogspot.com/2011/12/imaginary-address-to-malapportionment.html

While Najib basks in confidence, for those interested in reform and change they should work doubly hard in order to shake his confidence. The first step for those eligible is to register; for those registered and eligible to vote, make an effort to vote on election day. Just vote according to your conscience.
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